Rodrigo Duterte, a 71-year-old ex-prosecutor, has run an obscenity-filled campaign in which he has boasted about Viagra-fuelled affairs and joked about raping a missionary.
Rights groups allege Duterte allowed death squads to kill more than 1,000 suspected criminals during his two decades as mayor of Davao City, an accusation he has at times denied and at other times bragged about.
The political establishment has warned that years of solid economic growth is threatened and foreign governments have looked on with trepidation as the country is a key regional player in the South China Sea dispute with Beijing.
The front-page headline of the Philippine Star on Monday summed up the anxiety: “It’s judgment day.”
With less than 4% of precincts reporting results on Monday evening, an unofficial tally showed Duterte was leading with more than 600,000 votes, nearly double that of the next candidate.
Filipinos carrying umbrellas to shelter from the glaring sun headed to public buildings in the capital Manila, many walking through empty streets normally packed with cars.
At a school in the central financial Makati district, one of the automated voting machines had broken, leading to a long line and one person saying they would give up and go home.
In his last campaign speech on Saturday, Duterte, whose quick-fix plans to end crime have wooed voters, said there would be mass killings of criminals under his presidency.
“Forget the laws on human rights,” he said. “If I make it to the presidential palace, I will do just what I did as mayor. You drug pushers, hold-up men and do-nothings, you better go out. Because … I’d kill you.”
Christian Quedado, 22, said he believed Duterte was an “honest person and everything he says will happen”, adding that the mayor’s anti-crime success in Davao would be taken nationwide.
“I don’t agree with killing. I just think he will have an alternate plan to stop crime ... He knows what he is doing.”
Voters are also drawn to Duterte’s promise to tackle corruption in a country that has experienced 6% economic growth on average while residents of slums still struggle to buy food. Many are frustrated with the political status quo in which a small clique governs the country.
Mo Neria, 32, a banker voting in the Makati district, said all candidates have similar agendas on the economy but people were voting for Duterte because of his “iron fist”. He added that, despite years of strong economic growth, “not everyone has benefited. Especially people in the provinces.”
Duterte’s opponents are most fearful of his threats to abolish congress or create a revolutionary government. The Philippines, the first democracy in south-east Asia, prides itself on ousting late dictator Ferdinand Marcos in 1986.
In the five-way race with Duterte 10 poll points ahead, the outgoing president, Benigno Aquino, launched an 11th-hour attempt on Friday to unite the other candidates against him. Aquino had hoped they would rally their voters around his preferred successor, Manuel “Mar” Roxas, who is the grandson of a Filipino president.
But despite Aquino’s threats that Duterte is a dictator-to-be, the plan never materialised. Senator Grace Poe, former international criminal court judge Miriam Santiago and the current vice-president, Jejomar Binay, all rejected the talks.
Recent preferential candidates surveys have given Duterte 33% in a system where contestants do not need a majority to win. Benigno Aquino won in 2010 with 42%.
Fifty-four million people are registered across the archipelago nation of more than 7,000 islands. Monday’s election is for 18,000 local and national representatives, including the president and vice-president, half of the senate, all governor posts, all mayors, and all city and municipal councils.
During the election, there has been violence, which is common in Philippine politics. On Saturday, a mayoral candidate was shot dead in the south by a gunman. And just hours before polls opened on Monday, seven people were shot dead when a convoy of vehicles was ambushed in Rosario, just south of Manila.
In the capital over the weekend there were still supporters driving through the streets on motorbikes with their candidate’s names written across their backs and music blaring from speakers.
Eufracia Taylor, Asia analyst at risk consultancy Verisk Maplecroft, said the Philippines was in a strong position and it would take a lot to unravel the achievements of the Aquino administration, although she added Duterte was a “wild card”.
“The competition for the presidency has essentially become a battle between ‘status quo’ candidates and ‘sharp turn’ candidates. The public is split between supporters for a president seen as safe hands or one who will drive drastic, and potentially divisive, change.”
The campaign turned sour over the weekend with the outgoing president comparing Duterte’s rise to that of Hitler and the mayor responded that Aquino was a “son of a whore”.
Observers have likened Duterte’s demagogic rise to that of US Republican frontrunner Donald Trump. Although Duterte calls Trump a “bigot”, they were both dismissed by the political establishment before becoming serious contenders.
The anti-establishment mentality has also led to the rise of Marcos’s son, Ferdinand Marcos Jr, who looks likely to win the vice-presidency.
The unity plan to block Duterte, which observers say came too late, illustrates the disbelief from the Philippines’ political dynasties.
Source: The Guardian
Source: The Guardian
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